NBA best bets today (Predictions for Khris Middleton and Xavier Tillman on Monday)

There are just two NBA playoff games on Monday, and with a short slate, we have a shorter version of the NBA best bets column tonight.

It’s a prop night, as I have my two favorite prop plays in the Miami Heat vs. Milwaukee Bucks and Memphis Grizzlies vs. Los Angeles Lakers matchups.

After a strong weekend, let’s keep the momentum going this week:

NBA best bets record to date

NBA best bets today

  • Khris Middleton OVER 19.5 Points (-125)
  • Xavier Tillman OVER 8.5 Rebounds (+110)

Khris Middleton OVER 19.5 Points (-125)

The volume has been there for Bucks All-Star wing Khris Middleton, and there’s a chance he’s the No. 1 option for the team again in Game 4 if Giannis Antetokounmpo can’t play.

So far in this series, Middleton has put up 33, 16 and 23 points in the first three games, taking 20, 16 and 14 shots in those contests. Even though the shots dropped off in Game 3, he was extremely efficient (8-for-14 from the field, 3-for-5 from 3).

Despite an injury-riddled season, Middleton has shown when he’s healthy that he still can be the 20 points per game scorer that he had been for four of the last five seasons.

Antetokounmpo’s potential return shouldn’t hurt Middleton’s usage too much, and the Bucks need him to show up if they want to avoid falling behind 3-1 in the series.

Xavier Tillman OVER 8.5 Rebounds (+110)

Xavier Tillman has been dominant on the glass in the last two games of this series, picking up 12 and 13 rebounds for the Grizz.

After playing just 22 minutes and grabbing three boards in Game 1, Tillman has seen a much bigger role in the last two games, peaking with a 39-minute performance in Game 3.

The Grizzlies only have three options to defend Anthony Daivs, Tillman, Santi Aldama and Jaren Jackson Jr., so the minutes are going to be there for the Grizzlies big man.

I think Tillman has a real shot to push double-digit rebounds again, especially since the Lakers (ninth in effective field goal percentage this postseason) and Grizzlies (15th) are struggling shooting the ball this postseason.

Game odds refresh periodically and are subject to change.

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