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NHL best bets today (Islanders poised to get first win of series)

We weren’t going to have a profitable every single night, so last night we suffered the first losing slate in the NHL Playoffs.

We’re still sitting at 11-5 for +5.00 units heading into tonight’s action, so we’re still in a good spot.

There are four games to wager on again tonight with the first set of Game 3s scheduled to take place.

Four games, four bets. Let’s dive into them.

Best NHL Playoff bets for Friday, April 21

  • Islanders -110 vs. Hurricanes
  • Panthers +135 vs. Bruins
  • Stars -110 vs. Wild
  • Oilers -140 vs. Kings

Islanders -110 vs. Hurricanes

CAR @ NYI | Best Odds

Fansided

Carolina Hurricanes

CAR

New York Islanders

NYI

Odds updated April 21st, 2023, at 3:26 pm

The Islanders are already one of the best defensive teams in the NHL and they had done a solid job of limiting the Hurricanes to offensive opportunities despite the losses in the first two games. Now, with them returning home and Teravainen out of the lineup for the ‘Canes, I can’t justify a bet on Carolina.

The Islanders have actually done a great job of keeping pace with the Hurricanes during 5-on-5 play. In fact, they have a very slight edge in 5-on-5 expected goals this series at 2.69 per 60 minuntes compared to Carolina at 2.67.

The Isles have also limited the Hurricanes to only 9.67 high-danger scoring chances per 60 minutes of 5-on-5 play. If they can continue to limit quality scoring opportunitites, Ilya Sorokin will take care of the rest.

The problem for New York has been penalties. The Hurricanes have three powerplay goals through the first two games which has proven to be the difference maker. If they can stay out of the box tonight, I’m confident they can win.

Panthers +135 vs. Bruins

BOS @ FLA | Best Odds

Fansided

Boston Bruins

BOS

Florida Panthers

FLA

Odds updated April 21st, 2023, at 3:27 pm

Believe it or not, the Panthers have been outplaying the Bruins this season when it’s been 5-on-5. If you looked at expected goals during 5-on-5 play, the Panthers have the advantage at 3.46 per 60 minutes to the Bruins 2.44.

The Panthers are also averaging 14.84 high-danger scoring chances per 60 minutes of 5-on-5 play, while the Bruins have averaged only 9.04.

The Bruins dominated the regular season, but it wasn’t due to their play between the blue lines. They were third in the NHL in shooting percentage and first in save percentage. Now, we’re starting to see what happens when they don’t get elite sharp shooting and goaltending. They lose.

Florida has been the better team in this series, and I’ll take a shot on them as underdogs once again on Friday night.

Stars -110 vs. Wild

DAL @ MIN | Best Odds

Fansided

Dallas Stars

DAL

Minnesota Wild

MIN

Odds updated April 21st, 2023, at 3:26 pm

5-on-5 play during this series has been relatively even across the board, but I’m going to trust the season long numbers that tell me the Stars are the far superior offensive team. They outranked the Wild in the regular season in every major offensive category, including expected goals, high-danger scoring chances created, and shooting percentage.

Then, there’s the Stars’ special teams. Dallas was third in penalty killing this season while also sporting the fifth best powerplay. That advantage has shown up in this series, as the Stars have already scored five powerplay goals through the first two games.

The strong play while having a man advantage has been no coincidence, and it will continue to be the difference maker as the series progresses.

I’ll back the Stars at pick’em odds tonight.

Oilers -140 vs. Kings

EDM @ LA | Best Odds

Fansided

Edmonton Oilers

EDM

Los Angeles Kings

LA

Odds updated April 21st, 2023, at 3:26 pm

5-on-5 play during this series has been relatively even across the board, but I’m going to trust the season long numbers that tell me the Stars are the far superior offensive team. They outranked the Wild in the regular season in every major offensive category, including expected goals, high-danger scoring chances created, and shooting percentage.

Then, there’s the Stars’ special teams. Dallas was third in penalty killing this season while also sporting the fifth best powerplay. That advantage has shown up in this series, as the Stars have already scored five powerplay goals through the first two games.

The strong play while having a man advantage has been no coincidence, and it will continue to be the difference maker as the series progresses.

I’ll back the Stars at pick’em odds tonight.

New York Islanders

NYI

FanDuel

-120

live

moneyline

Carolina Hurricanes @ New York Islanders

NHL • 2022-23 First Round

04/21 6:00 PM

If the New York Islanders win, a $12.00 bet on them will win you $10, for a total payout of $22.00.

Florida Panthers

FLA

BetMGM

+120

live

moneyline

Boston Bruins @ Florida Panthers

NHL • 2022-23 First Round

04/21 6:30 PM

If the Florida Panthers win, a $10 bet on them will win you $12.00, for a total payout of $22.00.

Dallas Stars

DAL

BetMGM

-110

live

moneyline

Dallas Stars @ Minnesota Wild

NHL • 2022-23 First Round

04/21 8:30 PM

If the Dallas Stars win, a $11.00 bet on them will win you $10, for a total payout of $21.00.

Published on Apr 21, 2023 2:52 PM

Betslip #1682106732547-82bd-195

Game odds refresh periodically and are subject to change.

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