The Edmonton Oilers were upset by the Los Angeles Kings in the first game of their NHL opening round playoff series, but the Oilers bounced back in Game 2 and won by a final score of 4-2.
The series now heads to Los Angeles for Game 3 tonight.
So far, the series has mimicked their first round series last year and if history repeats itself, the Oilers will capture the series lead tonight.
Let’s dive into the odds for tonight and then I’ll give you my best bet.
Oilers vs. Kings odds, puck line, and total
Oilers vs. Kings prediction and pick
The series may be tied at 1-1, but the Oilers have absolutely dominated from an analytics perspective through the first two games. When you look at expected goals during 5-on-5, the Oilers have the advantage at 3.67 per 60 minutes compared to 2.07 for the Kings.
That’s a difference of +1.6 expected goals per 60 minutes for Edmonton.
The Kings took advantage of powerplay opportunities in the opening game, but the Oilers can also attack on the powerplay, boasting the best unit in the regular season.
In terms of just shots on net, the Oilers are outshooting the Kings by 14.39 per 60 minutes of play.
Even though Game 3 is in Los Angeles, I have to trust the analytics and back the Oilers tonight.
Game odds refresh periodically and are subject to change.