Jaguars vs. Texans Prediction and Odds for Week 17 (The ultimate let-down spot for Jacksonville)

The Jacksonville Jaguars and Trevor Lawrence have come alive and all of the sudden they’ve steamrolled their way to the top of the AFC South. The Houston Texans did them a favor, beating Tennessee last week. Regardless of the results of both team’s Week 17 results, they’ll be playing for the AFC South title in Week 18.

The Jaguars got to the top of the division by soundly beating the Jets on Thursday Night Football to get to 7-8. They’ve now won four straight and five of six. The Texans actually have more at stake in this one with a chance of losing the first pick in the draft. They’re 2-12-1 and Chicago is 3-12, a win could mean they miss out on their next franchise quarterback.

Let’s take a look at the odds for this AFC South matchup.

Jaguars vs. Texans Odds, Spread and Total

Houston and Jacksonville Betting Trends

  • Houston is 7-7-1 ATS
  • Jacksonville is 7-7-1 ATS
  • Jacksonville is 4-0-1 ATS in last 5 vs. AFC
  • Houston is 5-1 ATS in last six vs. AFC South

Jaguars vs. Texans Prediction and Pick

The Jaguars did it. They battled back into playoff contention and now they control their own destiny. The thing is, it doesn’t matter if they win this game and that’s such a dangerous spot to be in as a gambler. For as much as we want to look at numbers and think of these games as being played in a simulation, they’re human, they know the reality of the situation and it’s only human nature to let your foot off the gas.

Not that the game means a ton of Houston, but there’s motivation in playing spoiler against a division rival.

Vegas knows the reality of the situation here too and that’s baked into the four-point spread. Jacksonville has shown themselves to be a very good team down the stretch, Trevor Lawrence has played like one of the elite NFL quarterbacks. Against New York he wasn’t special and Houston has been very frisky, taking Kansas City to overtime and beating Tennessee.

Houston has the worst run-defense in the NFL, and they gave up 184 on the ground to Tennessee, so that’s concerning when betting on the Texans, but I’m going to do it knowing that it’s a huge look-ahead spot for the Jaguars, maybe the biggest in franchise history.

Follow all Josh Yourish’s bets HERE

Game odds refresh periodically and are subject to change

Denise T. Jones

Denise T. Jones is a passionate sports enthusiast with a knack for capturing the electrifying essence of the sporting world. As a dedicated sports news writer for, Denise brings her unparalleled love for sports and her adept storytelling skills to deliver captivating and insightful content to readers worldwide. With a keen eye for detail and a deep understanding of various sports disciplines, Denise ensures that her articles provide comprehensive coverage of the latest events, matches, and developments in the sports realm. Whether it's the thrill of the game-winning goal, the drama of a nail-biting finish, or the heartwarming stories of triumph against all odds, Denise encapsulates it all with eloquence and precision. Denise's journey in sports journalism has been marked by her unwavering commitment to accuracy, integrity, and excellence. Her ability to blend statistical analysis with compelling narratives sets her apart as a trusted voice in the industry. From the adrenaline-pumping action on the field to the strategic maneuvers off it, Denise brings every aspect of the sporting world to life through her writing. With a finger on the pulse of the sports scene, Denise T. Jones continues to inspire and inform readers with her dynamic and engaging sports coverage on

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