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NHL best bets today (Sabres pull off upset in Vegas)

We got back to our winning ways on Sunday, going 2-1 for a slight profit in our NHL best bets.

Let’s keep that momentum going as we head into the holidays.

The NHL has eight games on tap for Monday night, so there are plenty of options for hockey bettors to find winners. If you like plus-money bets, then you’ve come to the right place, as all three of my plays tonight pay out more than what you put in.

Let’s dive into them.

NHL Best Bets Record-to-Date

92-85-1 (+0.07 units)

NHL Best Bets Today (Monday, December 19th)

  • Capitals -1.5 (+145) vs. Red Wings
  • Canadiens +105 vs. Coyotes
  • Sabres +155 vs. Golden Knights

Capitals -1.5 (+145) vs. Red Wings

The Washington Capitals have been one of the hottest teams in the NHL over their past 10 games. Over that stretch, they’re third in the NHL in expected goals per 60 minutes (3.6) and fourth in expected goals against per 60 minutes (2.72).

Not only are their “expected” goals phenomenal, but they’re even out-performing those metrics, scoring 3.8 goals per game while allowing only 2.2.

I’m going to ride the hot team at home to win with margin against a slumping Red Wings squad.

Canadiens +105 vs. Coyotes

The Arizona Coyotes should never be favored against anyone. I don’t care that they’re playing at home tonight and I don’t care that they’re playing against the 14-15-2 Montreal Canadiens.

The Coyotes have a CORSI% of 40.51% over their last 10 games, dead last in the NHL by a significant margin. They’re also allowing an average of 4.14 goals over that stretch while scoring only 2.96. The only thing keeping them from getting trounced every night is their ability to put the puck in the net, consistently ranking amongst the top teams in the league in shooting percentage.

I expect regression in that area from them. Their underlying numbers are too horrible to ignore. I’ll jump at the chance to fade them at plus-money.

Sabres +155 vs. Golden Knights

The Vegas Golden Knights are in the middle of a slump, which gives us an opportunity to fade them. Over their last 10 games, they’re 20th in CORSI% and have an expected goals for of only 2.87, which ranks 24th in the NHL.

They’ll need better offensive production then that tonight if they want to hang with the Sabres, who have been scoring at an eye-popping rate over their last 10 games, putting up an average of 4.63 goals per night.

At +155, there’s value in betting on Buffalo to pull off the upset in Vegas, so that’s exactly what I’m going to do.

You can track Iain’s bets on Betstamp here.

Game odds refresh periodically and are subject to change.

Denise T. Jones

Denise T. Jones is a passionate sports enthusiast with a knack for capturing the electrifying essence of the sporting world. As a dedicated sports news writer for AccessTV.co, Denise brings her unparalleled love for sports and her adept storytelling skills to deliver captivating and insightful content to readers worldwide. With a keen eye for detail and a deep understanding of various sports disciplines, Denise ensures that her articles provide comprehensive coverage of the latest events, matches, and developments in the sports realm. Whether it's the thrill of the game-winning goal, the drama of a nail-biting finish, or the heartwarming stories of triumph against all odds, Denise encapsulates it all with eloquence and precision. Denise's journey in sports journalism has been marked by her unwavering commitment to accuracy, integrity, and excellence. Her ability to blend statistical analysis with compelling narratives sets her apart as a trusted voice in the industry. From the adrenaline-pumping action on the field to the strategic maneuvers off it, Denise brings every aspect of the sporting world to life through her writing. With a finger on the pulse of the sports scene, Denise T. Jones continues to inspire and inform readers with her dynamic and engaging sports coverage on AccessTV.co.

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