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Top College Basketball Picks Today (Keep Fading Louisville, Back Maryland over UCLA)

Wednesday’s slate of college basketball offers four AP Top 25 teams in action, with two of them tipping off just after 9 p.m. ET as the No. 16 UCLA Bruins travel to the east coast for the first time this year to face the No. 20 Maryland Terrapins.

UCLA has won five straight since losing the week before Thanksgiving in back-to-back matches to ranked opponents in No. 19 Illinois (who Maryland took down earlier), as well as No. 5 Baylor. Maryland, on the other hand, started off 8-0, before losing their last two matches in a road game at Wisconsin, followed by a neutral site matchup vs. Tennessee.

From the best games to potentially one of the worst, the Louisville Cardinals are still in search of not just their first cover of the season, but also their first win. Can they finally take down Western Kentucky at home?

Below are our best bets for Wednesday evening’s slate of action:

Best College Basketball Picks Today

  • WKU @ Louisville UNDER 134.5 (-110)
  • Maryland -1.5 (-110) vs. UCLA

Western Kentucky vs. Louisville Odds, Prediction and Pick

I’m tempted to consider Louisville to cover their first game of the season, but even with an inflated line I just can’t do it. They’re simply too awful of a team and haven’t played a close game since before Thanksgiving. Even the books need Louisville tonight and I can’t bring myself to hit “submit” at +7.5 at home.

For this game, however, I’m going with the UNDER at 134.5. Western Kentucky is a solid team. They shoot just under 40% from 3-point range, ranking 19th-best in college basketball, and also take a lot of quality shots; coming in 58th in effective field goal percentage. However, Louisville has actually played halfway decent defensively this year, ranking middle of the pack in adjusted defensive efficiency over at KenPom, and are actually 57th in the nation in opponent offensive rebounding percentage; limiting teams to second chance points.

The odds may say differently, but KenPom projects this matchup to be a 3-point win for WKU. Given Louisville’s offensive issues (bottom 50 in adjusted offensive efficiency), and a slowed down pace late if it’s a tight game, I like siding with the under. – Ben Heisler

Follow all of Ben’s betting plays in real-time HERE!

Maryland vs. UCLA Odds, Prediction and Pick

This should be a good bounce back spot for Maryland, who made only two of 24 3-pointers against the highest rated defense in the country in Tennessee. The Terps should get plenty of looks from distance against the compact Bruins defense that allows three’s at a top 100 rate this season.

Back at home, I expect we see Maryland get back on track against a UCLA team that has been beating up on inferior competition. The team has feasted on the interior, generating nearly 63% of their points on two’s, but Maryland’s interior defense is fantastic allowing opponents to shoot below 44% from the field, the 29th lowest mark in the country.

I don’t trust this Bruins team just yet, who has played one true road game this season (at Stanford) and this is a step up in class that they haven’t handled well just yet. While I’m still not as bullish as some on Maryland’s long term prospects, this team has been challenged and competed against every team they have faced. I’ll take the Terps to essentially win the game outright. I don’t see much difference between the two teams and will take the home favorite.

Follow all of Reed’s plays on BetStamp HERE!

 

Game odds refresh periodically and are subject to change.

Denise T. Jones

Denise T. Jones is a passionate sports enthusiast with a knack for capturing the electrifying essence of the sporting world. As a dedicated sports news writer for AccessTV.co, Denise brings her unparalleled love for sports and her adept storytelling skills to deliver captivating and insightful content to readers worldwide. With a keen eye for detail and a deep understanding of various sports disciplines, Denise ensures that her articles provide comprehensive coverage of the latest events, matches, and developments in the sports realm. Whether it's the thrill of the game-winning goal, the drama of a nail-biting finish, or the heartwarming stories of triumph against all odds, Denise encapsulates it all with eloquence and precision. Denise's journey in sports journalism has been marked by her unwavering commitment to accuracy, integrity, and excellence. Her ability to blend statistical analysis with compelling narratives sets her apart as a trusted voice in the industry. From the adrenaline-pumping action on the field to the strategic maneuvers off it, Denise brings every aspect of the sporting world to life through her writing. With a finger on the pulse of the sports scene, Denise T. Jones continues to inspire and inform readers with her dynamic and engaging sports coverage on AccessTV.co.

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